The withdrawal of the erstwhile Soviet Union from Afghanistan in 1989 spelt doom for the Pandits in the Kashmir Valley, with pan-Islamic jihadists switching their center of attention from Kabul to Kashmir at the course of their handlers in Pakistan.
Interestingly, 30 years after the tragic exodus of Kashmiri Pandits from the Valley, the jihadists have now given way to non-state actors, yet once more out to seize Kabul. This time, it is the US which is strolling away from a state that is still in crisis, Afghanistan, via putting a deal with the Taliban, whose management prospers throughout the Durand Line. In a sense, it is all back to rectangular one as the motherlode of jihad remains largely untouched in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan.
The upward jostle of jihad in the Valley was also due to the susceptible regimes of VP Singh and Chandrashekhar with fractured politics in Delhi making sure that the Centre became a bystander in the Valley. This time, there is a robust Centre, but it is clear that matters could take a flip for the worse even now.
The most important danger to India comes from pan-Islamic jihadist companies based in Pakistan with its deep state treating them as strategic belongings to hurt New Delhi. It is now an set up reality that Rawalpindi GHQ provides financial, logistic and tactical assist to world terror organizations such as the Jaish-e-Mohammed, Lashkar-e-Taiba, Hizbul Mujahideen, Tehreek-ul-Mujahideen, Harkat-ul-Mujahideen and Al Badr in order to target India. Despite the Asia-Pacific chapter of FATF giving a scathing report on Pakistan’s motion in opposition to terrorism, it is pretty evident that Islamabad will continue to be in the Grey List with its all-weather ally China at the helm of FATF.
China has tried to increase Kashmir thrice in UNSC and tried to help Pakistan designate six Indian nationals as world terrorists. Apart from extremely conservative Sunni terror groups, Pakistan houses remnants of the Indian Mujahideen, a demon baby of ISI using domestic grown jihadists, world terrorists such as Dawood Ibrahim and actually the entire pro-Khalistani brigade. A Khalistani Zindabad Force (KZF) module headed via Germany-based operative Gurmeet Singh Bagga is now being used to ship palms across the Radcliffe Line thru drones.
All these companies are being funded via narcotics from Afghanistan with latest seizures of 750 kilogram of heroin (worth ~750 crore) along the coasts of Maldives and Sri Lanka being traced returned to Pakistani operatives.
The worsening protection situation in Afghanistan additionally influences Indian security with Al Qaeda persevering with to help Taliban in its campaign in opposition to Afghan protection forces. Add to this, the Islamic State Khurasan Province (ISPK), working around the Khyber pass area.
While Bangladesh beneath Sheikh Hasina has taken strong action towards terror groups, IS affiliated IS-BD also recognised as Neo Jamaatul Mujahidin Bangladesh (JMB) and Al Qaida affiliated Ansarullah Bangla Team have been lively on India’s eastern front. These corporations are radicalising younger human beings to goal minority communities in Bangladesh, just as Pakistani deep country is fishing within the Rohingya neighborhood the usage of its sword arm Lashkar-e-Taiba . The JMB is no longer solely energetic in Bangladesh but has unfold roots to West Bengal and the North-east.
The April 2019 serial suicide bombings in Sri Lanka shows the presence of particularly radicalised IS followers in the Island nation. Intelligence inputs point out that the growing radicalisation of Muslims, in particular along the country’s northern and jap provinces, can also be exploited by Pakistan-based organizations and overseas fighters.
In Maldives, radical agencies such as Jamaiytul Salaf have unfold their roots across quite a few atolls. Nearly 200 Maldivians who travelled to the Syria-Iraq theatre are now again in the littoral nation and will pose a safety challenge.
While Communist Nepal has settled from the security perspective, it has emerge as a enjoying floor for each Chinese and Pakistani intelligence. The Himalayan kingdom is used these days for pumping in pretend currency to destabilise India at the behest of Pakistan.
It is clear that India has to be better organized than it used to be 30 years ago.